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While I run the risk of alienating a lot of low-carbers out there, I’m choosing to use Atkins as an analogy because I think there are a few parallels between the diet and my reluctance to endorse the debt snowball approach that is currently en-vogue. Generally the accepted science on Atkins as of this writing is that while it is very effective at weight loss, the long term benefits are not entirely clear^[1]. This largely equates to why I don’t advocate the debt snowball approach.

What is a debt snowball?

For those who aren’t familiar with it, the debt snowball approach is a fairly simple idea. Advocated by popular finance adviser Dave Ramsey, the basic premise is that instead of paying off your highest interest rate debt first, you should pay off your smallest balance first^[2]. The thinking behind the idea is that by “knocking off” debts as quickly as possible, you build momentum. This momentum gives you a sense of accomplishment and helps you persist in changing your habits. While purists may take me to task on the details, I believe I’ve captured the essence of the method.

My Initial Resistance

Ultimately my first problem with the approach is the obvious one: You are not increasing your net worth as quickly as possible.

I think this issue is completely relevant, but ultimately not very compelling. However for the sake of argument allow me to present a hypothetical situation which makes I think a strong anecdotal point. Suppose you have a variety of debts that add up to $7,000 with a monthly interest rate of 5% and a $10,000 debt with a monthly interest rate of 10%. Now also assume you are paying $135 per month towards your debts. If you use the snowball approach and pay down your lesser payment, your total debt would be going up very slightly, while if you paid your higher interest rate debt down first, your total debt would be going down slightly. ^[3]

What’s particularly interesting however, is that by the end of one year using the debt snowball, you would see a significant improvement in your lower interest rate debts. You would have paid your smaller debts down by considerably more than you would have paid your higher interest rate debts back. It intuitively looks like you’re in a better position. Thus you stay motivated and keep paying down debt because it looks like you’re making progress. In reality you’re actually losing ground. To be fair this is a fairly contrived example and in most cases you’ll make headway either way. But that brings me to my real objection to the debt-snowball.

Tricking Yourself vs. Learning Principles

Ultimately what troubles me about the debt-snowball is that it’s basically a way to make yourself feel good instead of actually learning the financial principles. This troubles me in the same way that the Atkins diet does. You can learn a set of rules that allow you to see what you perceive as progress, but ultimately if you vary from the plan you haven’t really learned the tools to do anything else and you may experience a “rebound.”

When it comes to debt, if I’m relying on how I feel vs. learning to feel better about what is in reality the best course of action, then I’m not really learning how to be financially wise. In fact isn’t this sensation what gets people into debt in the first place? Isn’t the notion that it feels like you own those things, even though you haven’t paid for them that gets you in trouble. So I’m not sure that advocating a plan that feels like you’re being responsible even though there’s a preferable approach is the way to go.

Maybe I’m unrealistic and some people just can’t learn basic finance. I’m also fully aware of the power of behavioral learning so I’m not rabidly opposed to this approach. It just seems to me that maybe, much like Atkins, this isn’t a fix-all for an age old problem. It may be a convenient way to get people to see results, it may not be the best in the long run.

Post from: Personal Finance And Investing

Is the Debt Snowball an Atkins Diet?

1. ”Atkins Diet Vindicated But Long-term Success Questionable.” Obesity, Fitness and Wellness Week — June 14, 2003: 25.
2. DaveRamsey.com – Debt Snowball – The Truth About How to Get Out of Debt
3. This assumes you have no minimum payments and can pay all of your payment to one debt. It also makes certain assumptions about how interest is calculated, but it is just a demonstrative hypothetical anyway so settle down.